{"id":31632,"date":"2024-08-31T00:41:10","date_gmt":"2024-08-31T04:41:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/?p=31632"},"modified":"2024-09-19T22:26:40","modified_gmt":"2024-09-20T02:26:40","slug":"what-is-wrong-with-the-two-rotten-apples-election-fallacy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/2024\/08\/31\/what-is-wrong-with-the-two-rotten-apples-election-fallacy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201c\u4e24\u4e2a\u70c2\u82f9\u679c\u201d\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u8c2c\u8bba\uff0c\u9519\u5728\u54ea\u91cc\uff1f\uff08\u542b\u97f3\u9891\u89c6\u9891\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\" style=\"font-size:16px\">\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u6bd5\u6210\u9e4f \/ 2024.08.30<br>\u53d1\u7a3f\uff1a2024.08.31<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-audio aligncenter\"><audio controls src=\"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/\u300a\u4e24\u4e2a\u70c2\u82f9\u679c\u300b.mp3\"><\/audio><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure 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0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u534e\u4eba\u6559\u4f1a\u7684\u6094\u6539\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u201c\u4e24\u4e2a\u70c2\u82f9\u679c\u201d\u7684\u4e8b\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u53cd\u7701\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u50b2\u6162\u548c\u81ea\u4ee5\u4e3a\u4e49\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e13\u5fc3\u4ef0\u671b\u795e\uff0c\u4f53\u8d34\u795e\u7684\u5fc3\u610f\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u534e\u4eba\u6559\u4f1a\u7684\u9886\u8896\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u63a8\u5e7f\u201c\u4e24\u4e2a\u70c2\u82f9\u679c\u201d\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u8c2c\u8bba\uff0c\u8bef\u5bfc\u4fe1\u5f92\u5462\uff1f\u4e5f\u8bb8\u6709\u7684\u7267\u8005\u771f\u7406\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u6545\u610f\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u5047\u6559\u5e08\u7684\u63a8\u6ce2\u52a9\u6f9c\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u6e05\u6559\u5f92\u7267\u5e08\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u5df4\u514b\u65af\u7279\uff08Richard Baxter\uff09\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u672a\u5f97\u6551\u662f\u53ef\u6015\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u4f5c\u4e00\u4e2a\u672a\u5f97\u6551\u7684\u4f20\u9053\u4eba\u66f4\u4e3a\u53ef\u6015\u201d\u3002\u6559\u4f1a\u4e2d\u6700\u5bb3\u4eba\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u83ab\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6709\u4eba\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u6551\uff0c\u6216\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u6551\u7684\u786e\u636e\u5c31\u4e0a\u4e86\u8bb2\u53f0\uff1b\u6559\u4f1a\u4e2d\u6700\u4f7f\u6559\u4f1a\u6df7\u4e71\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u83ab\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6709\u4eba\u5206\u4e0d\u6e05\u771f\u7406\u4e0e\u5047\u9053\u5c31\u4f5c\u4e86\u4f20\u9053\u4eba\uff0c\u5230\u5904\u5ba3\u4f20\u662f\u662f\u975e\u975e\u7684\u9053\u7406\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u6559\u4f1a\u8981\u62b5\u6321\u5047\u6559\u5e08\u548c\u5de6\u6d3e\u7684\u90aa\u6076\u3002\u6559\u4f1a\u5728\u4e89\u6218\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u6709\u5404\u79cd\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5b66\u4e60\u5982\u4f55\u4ef0\u671b\u4e3b\u3002\u6559\u4f1a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e3b\u7684\u5723\u5f92\u4eec\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u98ce\u6d6a\u4e2d\u4e5f\u662f\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u82e6\u96be\u7684\u3002\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u52a0\u5c14\u6587\u5728\u7ed9\u540c\u5de5\u7684\u4fe1\u4e2d\u8bf4\u9053\uff1a\u867d\u7136\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u906d\u9047\u8bb8\u591a\u98ce\u66b4\u7684\u731b\u70c8\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u4f46\u65e2\u7136\u638c\u8235\u7684\u662f\u90a3\u4f4d\u6c38\u4e0d\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8239\u96be\u4e2d\u706d\u4ea1\u7684\u4e3b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u7406\u7531\u8ba9\u5fc3\u7075\u88ab\u6050\u60e7\u538b\u5012\u6216\u88ab\u75b2\u60eb\u6218\u80dc\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u534e\u4eba\u6559\u4f1a\u7684\u9886\u8896\u4e0d\u5173\u5fc3\u653f\u6cbb\uff0c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u80c6\u91cf\u5728\u6559\u4f1a\u8bb2\u771f\u7406\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u8c08\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u5927\u9009\uff0c\u603b\u559c\u6b22\u88c5\u51fa\u4e00\u526f\u8131\u79bb\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u201c\u5c5e\u7075\u6a21\u6837\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u5c31\u4f7f\u5f97\u4f1a\u4f17\u5728\u771f\u7406\u4e0a\u7cca\u6d82\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u9009\u4e2d\u505a\u4e0d\u8363\u8000\u795e\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u6295\u5e9f\u7968\u6216\u653e\u5f03\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e86\u90aa\u6076\u7684\u5de6\u6d3e\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u5a01\u5ec9\u00b7\u73c0\u91d1\u65af\uff08William Perkins\uff09\u8bf4\uff1a\u795e\u603b\u662f\u7528\u5404\u79cd\u529e\u6cd5\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u771f\u6b63\u5730\u8c26\u5351\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7f6a\u5fe7\u4f24\u75db\u6094\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u624d\u8d50\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u8499\u62ef\u6551\u7684\u6069\u5178\uff0c\u6069\u5178\u4e4b\u524d\u5fc5\u6709\u8c26\u5351\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u4f46\u613f\u534e\u4eba\u6559\u4f1a\u7684\u9886\u8896\u80fd\u5e26\u9886\u4f1a\u4f17\u591a\u4e3a\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u7977\u544a\uff0c\u8ba4\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0d\u5173\u5fc3\u65f6\u4e8b\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u7f6a\uff0c\u6c42\u795e\u8d50\u4e0b\u80c6\u91cf\u548c\u667a\u6167\uff0c\u6562\u4e8e\u5728\u8bb2\u53f0\u4e0a\uff0c\u7528\u5723\u7ecf\u7684\u771f\u7406\u6559\u5bfc\u4f1a\u4f17\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u89c2\u3002\u6559\u4f1a\u80fd\u8c26\u5351\u6094\u6539\uff0c\u4e43\u662f\u5f97\u795e\u7684\u798f\u6c14\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u738b\u660e\u9053\u8001\u5f1f\u5144\u5148\u77e5\u6027\u7684\u547c\u558a\u7a7f\u8d8a\u65f6\u7a7a\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u5bf9\u5982\u4eca\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u534e\u4eba\u6559\u4f1a\u7684\u9886\u8896\u8bf4\u8bdd\uff1a\u6094\u6539\u5427\uff01\u6025\u901f\u6094\u6539\u5427\uff01\u5047\u5192\u4e3a\u5584\u7684\u6559\u4f1a\u9886\u8896\uff0c\u4f60\u4eec\u5e94\u5f53\u6025\u901f\u6094\u6539\u3002\u5148\u5728\u4f60\u4eec\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5fc3\u601d\u3001\u8a00\u8bed\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0a\uff0c\u6df1\u6df1\u53cd\u7701\uff0c\u75db\u5fc3\u6094\u6539\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u4f60\u81ea\u5df1\u548c\u4f60\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c31\u90fd\u5fc5\u5728\u795e\u7684\u9762\u524d\u8499\u60a6\u7eb3\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:19px\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#000693\" class=\"has-inline-color\">\u613f\u795e\u601c\u60af\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u534e\u4eba\u6559\u4f1a\uff01<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\" id=\"block-2a36f8ac-e3d1-4116-a797-bd01553558bb\" style=\"font-size:25px\"><strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u5ddd\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u5b98\u7f51\u94fe\u63a5 \u62dc\u6258\u5927\u5bb6\u591a\u591a\u6350\u6b3e\u652f\u6301\uff01\uff01\uff01<br><a href=\"https:\/\/www.donaldjtrump.com\/\">https:\/\/www.donaldjtrump.com\/<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"block-d6b5550b-156c-41b9-bf08-a1a1ce864ed9\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-34-868x1024.png\" alt=\"\u6b64\u56fe\u7247\u7684alt\u5c5e\u6027\u4e3a\u7a7a\uff1b\u6587\u4ef6\u540d\u4e3aimage-34-868x1024.png\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-079a8183-890f-43f1-abad-b5f403bb999d\"><strong>\u6350\u6b3e\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1a<\/strong>\uff08\u8bf7\u6ce8\u660e\u60a8\u7684\u59d3\u540d\u548c\u7535\u90ae\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u6211\u4eec\u5bc4\u9001\u6536\u636e\uff09\uff1a<br>1\uff09Zelle: nacr2021@gmail.com<br>2\uff09PayPal: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/paypalme\/NAConservative1\">PayPal.me\/NAConservative1<\/a><br>3\uff09\u652f\u7968\u62ac\u5934\uff1aNACR     \u5730\u5740\uff1a1951 McConnor Blvd, #59169 Schaumburg\uff0cIL 60159<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-1678adda-1918-4ebf-a45f-02c7f3a3c69c\"><strong>\u656c\u8bf7\u8ba2\u9605:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-f8cb2237-97e2-4033-868a-4c7634caa3c5\"><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba &#8211; YouTube<\/strong>\u65b0\u9891\u9053<strong>\u300b<\/strong>\uff1a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCXD6cjPFfBLlQMlSJi6h_6g\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCXD6cjPFfBLlQMlSJi6h_6g<\/a><strong><br><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba &#8211; Rumble<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u9891\u9053<\/span><strong><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u300b:<\/span><\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/rumble.com\/user\/NACR2021\">https:\/\/rumble.com\/user\/NACR2021<\/a><br><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b<\/strong>\u7535\u62a5(Telegram)\u65f6\u8bc4\u6587\u7ae0\u9891\u9053\uff1a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/NAconservative\">https:\/\/t.me\/NAconservative<\/a><br><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b<\/strong>\u7535\u62a5(Telegram)\u7ffb\u8bd1\u89c6\u9891\u9891\u9053\uff1a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/VIDEOSBYNACR\">https:\/\/t.me\/VIDEOSBYNACR<\/a><br><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b<\/strong>\u7535\u62a5(Telegram)\u4ea4\u6d41\u7fa4\uff1a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+92XsKo9C-upmZTRh\">https:\/\/t.me\/+92XsKo9C-upmZTRh<\/a><br><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b<\/strong>\u63a8\u7279(Twitter)\uff1a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/mobile.twitter.com\/naconservative9\">https:\/\/mobile.twitter.com\/naconservative9<\/a><br><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b<\/strong>\u8138 \u4e66(Facebook)\uff1a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/100052658047986\">https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/100052658047986<\/a><br><strong><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u300a\u5317\u7f8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u8bc4\u8bba\u300bGab: <\/span><\/strong>@NACR \uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/gab.com\/NACR\">https:\/\/gab.com\/NACR<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-ca98ebbe-4e36-4639-a1c0-37671abb89fa\"><strong><span style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u771f\u76f8\u793e\u4ea4\uff08TruthSocial\uff09<\/span>\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@NACR\">https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@NACR<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u6bd5\u6210\u9e4f \/ 2024.08.30\u53d1\u7a3f\uff1a2024.08.31 \u7136\u800c\u6709\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\u6211\u8981\u8d23\u5907\u4f60\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u5bb9\u8ba9\u90a3\u81ea\u79f0\u662f\u5148 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":31647,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news_review","category-pastor_article"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31632"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31632\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32119,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31632\/revisions\/32119"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31647"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nacr.info\/WordPress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}